Uncategorized

26
Feb

Who would be a lender?

Square US financial services company Square reported their full year this week. Bitcoin revenue has gone from a bit of a sideshow to being the single biggest revenue item, by far. Sales grew 9x in 2020 and in their forward looking statement Square announced that in January 2021 CashApp had set a new record for monthly

12
Feb

Worthless

Cash on Hand To great excitement this week, Tesla allocated $1.5 billion of their Corporate Treasury cash to bitcoin. The excitement did not necessarily extend everywhere though. Here is Nils Pratley, who to my surprise is the Financial Editor of the Guardian (yes, they have one). Irrespective of what you may think of Tesla or

05
Feb

Adios Davos

I went to Davos (on Zoom) A small town in Switzerland rejoices as world leaders don’t visit. Remember Davos? The big pow wow for the rich and famous in the Swiss Alps. Well you haven’t heard about it because this year it happened on Zoom. That’s right, Davos is now called Zoom. Without the private jets, the

29
Jan

Distressed assets

Distressed assets What would you say if I tried to sell you this company: The Basics Revenue: $3.3 trillion Enterprise value: $177 trillion Valuation: 53x revenue Revenue growth: negative Age: 244 years old Debt: at a 70 year high Accounting irregularities The company is very well connected and uses different accounting rules to everyone

07
Jan

A visitor from space

A visit from an alien If an alien visited plant earth and wished to make a purchase, which explanation of money and value would the alien believe? Money 1: Has a publically auditable record of every transaction ever; Has an absolutely known supply at all times in the present and future; Can only be mined by

04
Dec

Crash!

Crash Bitcoin has crashed by $50 billion. Actually, this headline was Friday last week and bitcoin has since recovered to be exactly where it was before it “crashed”. A good reminder though that bitcoin will, and has, dipped many times along the road. It has dropped by 85% more than 5 times since it launched

20
Nov

A very clever moron

A multi-asset portfolio As of December 2019 a balanced portfolio, based on global market capitalisation, would have looked something like this. 41% equity, 25% bonds, 20% investment grade credit and then the rest. At its current market capitalisation of $325 billion bitcoin would represent 0.24% of this portfolio. It would not show up on the

13
Nov

District 14

District 14 She did not wait long. Immediately after Biden was declared winner and having laid low for 6 months while the election battle raged, the truce ended. The Representative of the 14th New York district, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, raged against the Democrat machine. “The people who elected Biden will now be forgotten, he will swing

05
Nov

President Harris

President Harris? A few weeks back I said I marginally preferred a Biden victory from the perspective of the performance of our funds. Essentially, we are operating the funds as a hedge against the collapsing financial system and our 100% + returns in just over two years show that it is working. If our funds

30
Oct

The digital frontier

The Levels Back in August we wrote about “The Levels”. The various barriers that the bitcoin would face on its journey, one of the more significant being the US$13,800 barrier. “Again, based on long and short selling their is a great deal of potential activity at $13,800. This is roughly the 90 day average price