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G7

Reminder A gentle reminder from Morgan Stanley about where we stand in the current scheme of things. We could perhaps also include the bond market on this chart as well, but ultimately the global M2 money supply is a reasonable long term target for bitcoin. M2 is a measure of the money supply that includes cash,

11
Jun

El Salvador

Bitcoin Miami In perhaps the largest gathering yet of Bitcoin participants, Miami hosted Bitcoin 2021. Over 12,000 tickets were sold for the event (which weren’t cheap at $1,500 – $15,000) so it was incredibly well supported. As with all conferences, it was 90% canapé and hangover with 10% value thrown in. Perhaps the best summary

04
Jun

As long as we can pay the interest

Joe Biden released details of his first budget on Friday with $6 trillion to be spent in the next year against $4.2 trillion in revenues. Of all the things that stand out in the budget, “only” $300 billion is new spending. The rest of the $1.5 trillion shortfall is consumed in pre-committed programs such as Medicare,

28
May

The Earth is flat

Peak bad news? Having navigated Elon Musk, I had thought there was nobody more prominent that could have an opinion on Bitcoin. I was wrong. This tweet from the Pope was taken as a dig at the protocol and its power consumption. Reading it, it could equally be about aircraft, space travel or formula one cars

21
May

Did someone say Elon?

The wrong chart Quite the week. No need for another reminder of how frequently we have these steep pull backs, since we’ve just had one. The situation is adequately described below. For those that don’t know. The term HODL originated in 2013 after bitcoin’s price had crashed 40% to $450. A highly medicated trader typed HODL

14
May

A work of art

Elon Musk is right It makes no sense to mine bitcoin with coal. That is why almost nobody does. Coal is simply too expensive. Bitcoin miners can only operate profitably at 3 cents per kilowatt hour and less. Fully costed coal is a lot more than that, hence most bitcoin mining takes place at the bottom

07
May

Coke Heads

It was the annual gathering of Buffett sycophants last week. Tell us more Warren about how you have underperformed the market for the last 15 years etc. etc. Year after year they are asked about bitcoin and still have not come up with a coherent critique. It’s difficult to let this year’s vitriol slide though, so

30
Apr

Everything is terrible

Bitcoin has died** You didn’t really think that some computer code was going to compete to be a global asset class, did you? I mean, that was pretty stupid of you if you did. A bunch of bearded cryptography enthusiasts versus all the intellect of the world’s bankers? It was hardly a fair fight and it

23
Apr

Agent Lagarde returns

Protocol Henceforth, references to Bitcoin (B) mean the network, the software, the entire protocol. References to bitcoin (b), mean the currency embedded in that protocol. I’m glad this convention has emerged, it has bothered me for a while. Obviously, when starting a sentence, you’ll still have an issue and will simply have to do your best. A

16
Apr

Isabel

Risk Free Here’s an interesting trade for you from Bloomberg. December bitcoin futures were trading at a $5,000 premium to the spot price last week. All you had to do to make the 8% annualised return was go long spot bitcoin and short the December future. Sit tight for a few months and collect. Indeed, there are

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